Quantifying the uncertainty in fault plane solutions inferred from S/P amplitude ratios

TitleQuantifying the uncertainty in fault plane solutions inferred from S/P amplitude ratios
Publication TypeConference Proceedings
Year of Conference2016
AuthorsPoliannikov, OV, Fehler, M, Rodi, W
Conference NameSEG
Abstract

We study the problem of the moment tensor inversion of a double-couple microseismic source from observed S/P amplitude ratios. The emphasis of this work is on uncertainty quantification that includes the effect of the uncertain event location. We use a Bayesian approach to quantify the uncertainty of the fault plane solution. The posterior distribution is effectively calculated by sampling from the posterior distribution of the event location, and performing a moment-tensor inversion using individual samples. The uncertainty in the reconstructed moment tensor depends on the receiver geometry, signal noise, and the truemoment tensor. After a suitable transformation of the input data, the problem can be reduced to a classical least-squares estimation problem.

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